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what the heck...

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prive8	what the heck...	Lead	[-]
Posts: 176 (04/08/07 17:31:36) Reply Quote More My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Blocking Invite Ignore User's Posts	Tags : None ...am i supposed to do with this? LONG TERM.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED PERIOD OF MARINE WX IN STORE AROUND MID-WEEK. ENE WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW SHOULD CRANK SEAS UP INTO SCA TERRITORY FOR WEDNESDAY. COULD SEE A VERY QUICK SHIFT TO AN OFFSHORE DIRECTION WED NIGHT BUT DO NOT HAVE MUCH CONFIDENCE ABOUT WIND SPEEDS IN THE PRE-FRONTAL SW FLOW. TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOW...AND GFS/DGEX BOTH INDICATING A WEAKER PUSH BEHIND THE FRONT...NOW SLATED FOR THU MORNING. FORECAST SEAS UNDERCUT THE WW3 GUIDANCE BY A FOOT OR TWO ON WED AS I DID NOT JUMP ON GFS WIND SPEEDS...BUT OTHERWISE DID NOT STRAY TOO FAR. maybe some waves later in the week? know by wednesday.
Ice	Re: what the heck...	#1	[-]
Posts: 2807 (04/09/07 18:20:43) Local user Reply Quote More My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Blocking Invite Ignore User's Posts	*Quote:* what the heck am i supposed to do with this? If I may drop SC drop inn Sven. Long ago, had a Pastor once tell me, as well as others who were tasked on occasion to do the Sunday before-his-sermon gospel reading, "Just say it LIKE YOU MEAN IT." Long ago, had an E-7 Chief inn the Navy who would have made aerographers E-5 mince meat Petty Officer mate out of me had I ever morning weather telegraphed briefed the USS AMERICA Captains Chair Captain anything other than a this is what it's gonna be weather call the ball wise word and salute smart. Jim Moral of the long ago Dolphin flipper story? Well, I'm sure you get the no wake/hedge zone current and drift. But then, times and tings are changin' (always are). Lotsa lotsa's asking, lotsa lotsa's reading, lotsa lotsa's wondering, lotsa lotsa's cricket and forever tweeking. Otherwise, you're write and no questionmark needed. Just keep your eyes on Saturn. antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/image/0704/3_years_of_saturn.gif
prive8	Re: what the heck...	#2	[-]
Posts: 176 (04/10/07 17:08:22) Reply Quote More My Recent Posts Message Me Connection Blocking Invite Ignore User's Posts	ah yes. much better. high tide thursday is like 4PM. seems like a setup to me... NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... GRADUALLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS THRU THE NIGHT AS BENIGN EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE. AM FAVORING THE NAM SOLUTION...WHICH DEVELOPS A COASTAL TROF AND KEEPS OUR WIND DIRECTION MORE NE THRU THE NIGHT. SPEEDS SHOULD COME UP TO AROUND 20 KT BY DAYBREAK...WITH MARGINAL SCA SEAS AT LEAST GETTING INTO THE NC WATERS. THESE FORECAST SEAS ARE A FEW FEET UNDER THE WW3 NUMBERS BECAUSE OF USING A DIFFERENT WIND FIELD. WILL GO AHEAD AND RAISE THE SCA WITH THIS ISSUANCE...AND NOT GET TOO CUTE WITH THE BEGINNING TIME EVEN THO THE SC WATERS MAY TAKE A COUPLE HRS LONGER TO REACH THRESHOLDS. SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... NORTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF LOW MOVING UP THE COAST WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO GRADIENT TIGHTENING. SCA WILL ALREADY BE GOING AS THE PERIOD BEGINS AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY CAUSING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO VEER TO WESTERLY BY 12Z THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT SEAS WILL RUN 4 TO 8 FT...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY SUBSIDE TO BELOW 4 FT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS OFFSHORE FLOW SETS UP. LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY EXPECTING SCA CONDITIONS. FRI WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE N AND VEER TO E BY EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SAT AM AND CONTINUE TO VEER AROUND TO SW BY SAT EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL APPROACH SCA CRITERIA AROUND 21Z SAT FOR OUR NORTHERN SEGMENTS AND 00Z SUN FOR OUR SOUTHERN SEGMENTS. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS AS THOUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO RAMP UP SUN...MAYBE EVEN REACHING 7 TO 8 FT CLOSE TO 20 NM OUT.

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